Thunder vs. Kings odds, line, prediction, time: 2025 NBA picks, March 25 best bets from proven model

The Sacramento Kings (35-36) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (59-12) in a Western Conference tilt on Tuesday. The Thunder are comfortably sitting as the No. 1 seed in the West and have won six straight games. On Sunday, the Thunder beat the Los Angeles Clippers 103-101. The Kings are in a slump, dropping three straight matchups. Last night, the Boston Celtics defeated Sacramento 113-95. Jalen Williams (hip) and Chet Holmgren (hip) are questionable for the Thunder, while Malik Monk (illness) is questionable for the Kings. 

Tipoff from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif., is at 10 p.m. ET. The teams have met twice this season, with Oklahoma City securing a 144-110 on Feb. 1. The Thunder are 9-point favorites in the latest Thunder vs. Kings odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 233.5. OKC is at -395 on the money line (risk $395 to win $100), while Sacramento is at +310 (risk $100 to win $310). Before locking in any Kings vs. Thunder picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 23 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 153-113 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It's also an outstanding 20-10 (67%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Thunder vs. Kings 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Kings:

• Thunder vs. Kings spread: Oklahoma City -9
• Thunder vs. Kings over/under: 233.5 points
• Thunder vs. Kings money line: Oklahoma City -395, Sacramento +310
• OKC: Thunder are 44-24-4 against the spread this season 
• SAC: Kings are 28-39-4 against the spread this season 
• Thunder vs. Kings picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Thunder vs. Kings streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

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Why the Thunder can cover

Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a crafty ball-handler and playmaker in the backcourt. Gilgeous-Alexander leads the NBA in points (32.8) while leading the team in assists (6.3) and steals (1.8). He's scored at least 30 points and had six-plus assists in four of his last five games. On March 21 against the Hornets, Gilgeous-Alexander had 30 points, six rebounds, and nine assists.

Center Isaiah Hartenstein has been an active member of the frontcourt. Hartenstein logs 11.4 points, 11.1 rebounds and shoots 57.1% from the field. He's recorded four straight double-doubles. In his last outing, the 26-year-old had 14 points, 10 rebounds, six assists, three blocks, and two steals. The Thunder also head into this game with a 21-12-2 record as the road team against the spread. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Kings can cover

Guard Zach LaVine has been an athletic scorer who owns a pure jumper on the perimeter. This season, LaVine averages 23.2 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game. On March 17 against the Grizzlies, the UCLA product finished with 23 points, six assists, and made five 3-pointers.                                                                           

Forward DeMar DeRozan excels in the mid-range area and can score in the low post. DeRozan logs 22.2 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game. The USC product has scored 20-plus points in seven straight games. In the March 19 win over the Cavaliers, DeRozan had 27 points and four assists. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Thunder vs. Kings picks

SportsLine's model has simulated Thunder vs. Kings and is leaning Under the total, projecting 225 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's NBA picks. 

So who wins Thunder vs. Kings on Tuesday, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Thunder vs. Kings spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out. 

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