Tarik Skubal

Tarik Skubal

SP - DET
Height: 6-3
Weight: 240 lbs
Age: 27
College:
Detroit Tigers

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The ScoreTrust Olson to mow down lowly Marlins at home

Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.Another day, another jam-packed slate of MLB games. Let's take a closer look at a few of my preferred ways to attack it.Reese Olson: Over 17.5 outsOlson is pitching extremely well this season. He's allowed two runs or fewer in six of seven starts, including five straight. Those are impressive numbers considering he's faced the Rangers, Yankees, and Twins in that span.Although he's been a mixed bag in terms of going over his total, Olson is averaging 17 outs this season. He's routinely flirting with this number despite a very stiff opposing schedule.Tuesday looks like a great spot for Olson to give the Tigers some length. The Marlins sit 27th in runs per game and 29th in OBP. They don't get on base, nor do they hit for power.Olson's averaged 20 outs per contest when pitching at home this season. I wouldn't be surprised if he hovers around that number again versus one of the league's worst offenses.Odds: -110 (playable to -130)Logan Gilbert: Under 1.5 walksGilbert's walk total has been one of my favorite props to target for the better part of two years. He has great control of the strike zone and rarely hands out free passes. In fact, he's only walked multiple batters in 10 of his past 30 starts.He walked two batters or more in back-to-back games only once in that span, which just so happens to be over his last two starts.The Royals should afford Gilbert a great opportunity to get back on track. They've walked in only 5.8% of their at-bats against right-handed pitchers this month. That's the second-lowest rate in the majors, ranking them ahead of only the lowly White Sox.Kansas City has a swing-first approach at the dish and owns the third-highest contact rate against righties in May.Given how effective Gilbert is at keeping the ball in the zone, and the Royals' tendency to swing, he should be able to regain his control in this one.Odds: -130 (playable to -145)JP Sears: Under 17.5 outs The Astros appear to be turning a corner - at least offensively. They posted a .324 OBP in May (sixth highest) while striking out only 17.4% of the time. That's the lowest mark in the league.Their numbers are even more impressive considering the caliber of pitchers they've faced this month. Houston has faced Gilbert, George Kirby, Bryce Miller, Tarik Skubal, Jack Flaherty, and Carlos Rod n, among others, over the past two weeks alone.I think Sears will have trouble slowing the Astros down. He's sporting a concerning .369 xwOBA versus righties over his past four starts, and Houston is expected to have six of them in its lineup. The Astros also feature left-handed monsters like Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker. Whether Sears' splits are better against lefties or not, he'll have a tough time with those stars.Sears has gone under this number in 18 of his past 30 starts. With the Athletics' bullpen in pretty good shape, I don't see Sears completing six innings in this one.Odds: -115 (playable to -130)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Source: The Score
Tuesday, May 14, 2024

FOX Sports2024 MLB Cy Young Award odds: Tarik Skubal new AL favorite; Wheeler remains steady

Pitching injuries have meant a lot of changes atop of the Cy Young betting board, including a new NL favorite. Find out where the league's top pitchers now sit.

Source: FOX Sports
Thursday, May 9, 2024

The ScoreCy Young rankings: Fresh faces lead way in competitive early field

Welcome to the first edition of theScore's 2024 Cy Young rankings, where we look at the top five pitchers in each league. Though it's still early, there are already plenty of standout performers. Let's look at the best on the mound through the first month-plus of the season. Odds courtesy of theScore Bet.American League5. Mason Miller, Athletics Mike Stobe / Getty Images IP ERA FIP K WHIP SV Odds 14.1 1.26 -0.05 29 0.77 8 N/A Relievers have to go above and beyond to get legitimate Cy Young consideration, and Miller is doing that right now. Armed with the majors' hardest fastball - it averages 100.8 mph - Miller's mowing down hitters with ease and owns an astonishing 18.21 K/9 rate. He's given up only two earned runs, has yet to allow a homer, and is a perfect 8-for-8 in save opportunities. Were he qualified, Miller's 1.1 fWAR would be tied for ninth in the AL, putting him ahead of several established starters, including Corbin Burnes. Whether he can keep this up all summer long remains to be seen, but for the moment Miller absolutely belongs here.4. Yusei Kikuchi, Blue Jays Icon Sportswire / Icon Sportswire / Getty IP ERA FIP K WHIP Odds 39.2 2.72 2.33 43 1.16 +6000 The Blue Jays may be underachieving, but it's certainly not because of Kikuchi, who's pitching better than he ever has in his six-year big-league career. The 32-year-old's 9.76 K/9 rate is a career best, as are his ERA, WHIP, and FIP (2.33). He's given up just two homers in nearly 40 innings and issued only nine walks despite a 2.04 BB/9 rate that might be lower if he had a couple more innings under his belt. Kikuchi's also doing a tremendous job of limiting hard contact, sitting in the 13th percentile of hard-hit percentage. In many ways, he's keeping Toronto afloat right now.3. Kutter Crawford, Red Sox Maddie Malhotra/Boston Red Sox / Getty Images Sport / Getty IP ERA FIP K WHIP Odds 40.1 1.56 2.54 40 1.07 +3000 Crawford came out of nowhere in the early stages of the season to help power a phenomenal Red Sox rotation. The 28-year-old won't overpower hitters with a versatile arsenal of pitches (his fastball's averaging 92.9 mph), but he's nonetheless tying them in knots. Crawford places second in the AL in ERA and fWAR (1.5), leads the majors in ERA+ (262), and allowed only one home run in his first seven starts. He's still walking almost three batters per nine and could stand to pad his strikeout totals a bit, but those things should fix themselves over time. Crawford will beat you on the mound in his own way, and he's very good at it.2. Tarik Skubal, Tigers Jim McIsaac / Getty Images Sport / Getty IP ERA FIP K WHIP Odds 42.2 1.90 2.08 53 0.77 +275 It's no surprise that the Tigers' fortunes finally began to turn right as Skubal started to break out as an ace. After showing flashes of this down the stretch last summer, the 27-year-old lefty's truly taken the next step to start 2024. He owns the AL's lowest WHIP and is third in strikeouts while placing fifth in ERA and fourth in BB/9 (1.27). Skubal also seems to have solved his home-run problem, as he gave up just three through his first 42.2 innings. It sure seems like Skubal is here to stay, and that's a great thing for Detroit.1. Tanner Houck, Red Sox Billie Weiss / Getty Images IP ERA FIP K WHIP Odds 45.1 1.99 2.08 46 0.97 +2500 The other half of Boston's dominant duo, Houck is nothing short of a revelation for the Red Sox. He's the majors' FIP leader (2.06) and sits top-10 in the AL in ERA, strikeouts, and WHIP. He's only issued seven walks, allowed one homer, and, just for good measure, tossed a 94-pitch, three-hit shutout last month - against the powerful Guardians, no less. It's early, sure, but Houck's heading up a very tight AL Cy Young race barely a year after posting an ERA above five. This would be one heck of a comeback story if he can pull it off.Apologies to: Jos Berr os (TOR), Ronel Blanco (HOU), Luis Castillo (SEA), Logan Gilbert (SEA), Jon Gray (TEX), George Kirby (SEA)National League5. Jared Jones, Pirates Justin Berl / Getty Images Sport / Getty IP ERA FIP K WHIP Odds 41.0 2.63 3.28 52 0.78 +3000 Already an early Rookie of the Year favorite, Jones is pushing himself squarely into the Cy Young mix, too. The Pirates' electric right-hander has stuff that often feels unhittable. He's third in the NL in K/9 (11.41) and the Senior Circuit leader in BB/9 (1.10), while his 10.40 K/BB ratio is tops in the majors. Jones also owns the NL's second-lowest WHIP and is third in strikeouts while issuing only five walks. His only real problem is home runs - of the 13 extra-base hits allowed by Jones, seven were long balls - and he'll have to fix that up to keep his spot. He's talented enough to do that, though, so don't be surprised to see Jones' name here for a long time.4. Shota Imanaga, Cubs Griffin Quinn / Major League Baseball / Getty IP ERA FIP K WHIP Odds 34.2 0.78 2.23 35 0.75 +1000 The Cubs are no doubt elated by the early returns from Imanaga, who dazzled with his unique style during his first month in the majors. "The Throwing Philosopher" is leaving hitters searching for answers, sporting a sparkling 0.78 ERA that would easily lead the majors if he wasn't about an inning short of qualifying. His strikeout numbers are down a bit from what he was doing in Japan, but with the way he's pitching it hardly matters. Imanaga is controlling the game with ease. He's issued just four walks for a 1.04 BB/9 rate while also quelling concerns about the long ball by giving up only two homers. Even if the ERA jumps by a run or two, Imanaga's already made it clear that he not only belongs in the majors, but the Cy Young conversation, too.3. Ranger Su rez, Phillies Jeff Dean / Getty Images Sport / Getty IP ERA FIP K WHIP Odds 47.0 1.72 2.82 46 0.72 +1000 Su rez isn't one of the names you might usually think of when you're talking Phillies aces, but he's quickly changing that. Through seven starts, he owns a stellar 1.72 ERA, an MLB-leading 0.72 WHIP, and a stellar 1.15 BB/9 rate. Six of those starts were quality, and one was a shutout. It's very easy to see why he's here. Su rez is another crafty lefty who will slowly grind you down instead of bringing the heat, and he's been building to this for a while with his brilliant playoff performances over the past few Octobers. If he's now going to pitch like this consistently during the regular season, we can say it: Su rez is an ace.2. Tyler Glasnow, Dodgers Kevork Djansezian / Getty Images Sport / Getty IP ERA FIP K WHIP Odds 50.0 2.70 2.46 63 0.92 +275 The only question that ever surrounds Glasnow is his health. Well, he's healthy now, and, boy, is he making a statement. Through his first month-plus as a Dodger, Glasnow is tied for the MLB lead in strikeouts, second in fWAR (1.5), second in FIP, and top five in his league in WHIP, opponent's average (.182), and K/9 (11.34). Most impressive, though, is Glasnow's league-leading 50 innings pitched, already nearly halfway to his career high set just last year. He's truly stepping up as the ace L.A. paid for this winter and could easily top these rankings next time if he continues to dominate like this.1. Zack Wheeler, Phillies Mitchell Leff / Getty Images Sport / Getty IP ERA FIP K WHIP Odds 49.1 1.64 2.31 63 0.89 +300 Here's the Phillies pitcher you were expecting. Wheeler's been as dominant as ever to start the year. He's the NL ERA leader among qualified pitchers, top 10 in WHIP, and sporting a K/9 rate over 11 while sitting tied with Glasnow atop the MLB strikeout leaderboard. Wheeler's fastball velocity has actually dipped compared to last year, but he's making up for it by increasing both his whiff and K percentages. He's also varying his offerings a bit more, and the results speak for themselves. Opponents are hitting .176 against his sinker and just .095 versus his splitter. Wheeler's fallen just short in the Cy Young race several times since joining the Phillies, and though he's already in a dead heat with Glasnow this time, he seems determined to make sure 2024 is finally his year.Apologies to: Dylan Cease (SD), Hunter Greene (CIN), Jordan Hicks (SF), Logan Webb (SF)Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Source: The Score
Tuesday, May 7, 2024

The ScoreMLB Power Rankings: Phillies heating up, Angels wasting more Trout magic

Welcome to the third edition of theScore's MLB Power Rankings for the 2024 regular season. The last edition was published April 15. 1. Atlanta Braves Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-7 8-2 +47 3 (+2) Ronald Acu a Jr. and Austin Riley started slowly. Spencer Strider's out for the year. Sean Murphy's played one game. Yet the Braves keep winning, owning the majors' best record and run differential. Marcell Ozuna's hitting like an MVP, and Reynaldo L pez has come out of nowhere to post a 0.72 ERA through four starts.2. Los Angeles Dodgers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 18-12 6-4 +38 1 (-1) The star-studded Dodgers have won six of seven and are heating up. Will Smith is reaping the benefits of hitting cleanup behind three former MVPs, slashing .382/.422/.590 with five doubles and nine RBIs over the last two weeks. He's also done well catching a rotation led by Tyler Glasnow, who owns a 0.64 ERA and 19 strikeouts over his last two starts (14 innings).3. New York Yankees Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-10 6-4 +43 2 (-1) Juan Soto's been everything and more for the Yankees. The same can't be said for Aaron Judge. The 2022 AL MVP is off to an uneven start at the plate and was booed during a recent four-strikeout game at Yankee Stadium. Luckily for New York, two players who struggled last season are off to good starts: Carlos Rod n owns a 2.48 ERA across six outings, while Giancarlo Stanton has six homers and a .777 OPS.4. Baltimore Orioles Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 17-10 6-4 +34 5 (+1) Jackson Holliday's first taste of the majors didn't go as planned, and baseball's top prospect is back in Triple-A following a 2-for-34 start. But nobody should worry too much. Holliday's only 20 years old and isn't the first to have early-career struggles. The good news: Baltimore has the AL's highest-scoring offense, with three regulars with an OPS above .900. Patrick Smith / Getty Images5. Philadelphia Phillies Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-10 8-2 +25 9 (+4) The Phillies are one of baseball's hottest teams, winning four straight and 11 of 13. Alec Bohm's on fire to start the year, leading the club with 26 RBIs and a 1.056 OPS. Ranger Su rez may be the team's best starting pitcher, posting a 0.30 ERA over his last four starts (30 innings). Philly already set a franchise record for April wins and still has two more games.6. Milwaukee Brewers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 17-10 6-4 +14 4 (-2) The Brewers continue piling up wins, even with outfielder Christian Yelich sidelined with a back injury. William Contreras appears to be putting together a breakout season (.988 OPS) as the league's next star catcher. There are valid concerns about the rotation beyond ace Freddy Peralta, but Milwaukee should have staying power as a relevant team in the NL Central.7. Cleveland Guardians Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-9 7-3 +46 10 (+3) With an offense that's again among the toughest to strike out, Cleveland now owns the AL's best run differential - an amazing feat considering the Guardians have hit only 26 home runs and Jos Ram rez hasn't quite gotten going yet. With a fairly soft schedule ahead, the Guardians have a great opportunity to start pulling away in the winnable AL Central.8. Kansas City Royals Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 17-12 5-5 +43 7 (-1) Pitching keyed Kansas City's great April. The team's rotation ranks third in the majors in ERA, with Seth Lugo's 1.66 mark over 38 innings leading the way. Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez, and Vinnie Pasquantino are carrying the offense as the team's only three qualified hitters with an OPS over .700. While the Royals may fall back as the schedule toughens, we'll give them their due for now.9. Texas Rangers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 15-14 5-5 +7 6 (-3) It feels like the Rangers are biding time until rotation reinforcements arrive. Max Scherzer appears close to making his season debut, while Jacob deGrom and Tyler Mahle are more realistic to return at some point later this season. The lineup's been respectable so far (13th in OPS) but should find another gear as the season continues.10. Chicago Cubs Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 17-11 6-4 +14 11 (+1) Shota Imanaga's making an early case for NL Cy Young. The Cubs' offseason addition leads the majors with a 0.98 ERA, becoming only the sixth player to post a sub-1.00 ERA in his first five career starts. Chicago's won every game Imanaga's started. Jason Miller / Getty Images Sport / Getty11. Cincinnati Reds Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 15-13 6-4 +21 12 (+1) The Reds are in good hands on both sides of the ball with Elly De La Cruz and Hunter Greene. De La Cruz is baseball's most electrifying player, currently on pace to become the first player in history to hit 35 home runs and steal 80 bases in the same year. Greene appears to be putting it all together in his fourth season, posting a 3.63 ERA, 2.96 FIP, and 10.9 K/9 across his first six starts.12. Boston Red Sox Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 16-13 6-4 +33 15 (+3) The Red Sox continue to punch above their weight despite countless injuries thanks to excellent starting pitching and solid offensive contributions from Tyler O'Neill, Connor Wong, and Wilyer Abreu. O'Neill's tied for second in the majors with nine homers, Wong's gone deep five times and has a .948 OPS, while Abreu's hitting .319/.400/.553 over the last two weeks.13. Seattle Mariners Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 15-13 7-3 +10 23 (+10) The Mariners own the AL West's top record despite being one of the worst scoring clubs in the league - only the Blue Jays, White Sox, and Athletics have scored fewer runs in the AL. Seattle's bullpen's been elite, with an MLB-best 2.47 ERA, while its starters own baseball's fifth-best FIP. Logan Gilbert's been tremendous, posting a 1.82 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in 34 2/3 innings.14. Arizona Diamondbacks Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 13-16 4-6 +29 13 (-1) The D-Backs are trying to stay afloat in the NL West while dealing with a bunch of injuries: 10 key players - including three members of the rotation, five relievers, and two solid defenders in Alek Thomas and Geraldo Perdomo - are out. Arizona's expected record based on its plus-29 run differential is 17-12, so it'll be interesting to see how the club performs with a full squad of regulars.15. New York Mets Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-13 5-5 +7 17 (+2) The Mets feel like a fun surprise at times, and a painfully mediocre squad at others. Notorious slow starter Francisco Lindor's bat has awoken from hibernation, providing Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo with some much-needed lineup assistance. But aside from a rejuvenated Luis Severino, the team's patchwork starting rotation's struggled to pitch deep into games. David Berding / Getty Images Sport / Getty16. Detroit Tigers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 16-12 6-4 +3 20 (+4) Tarik Skubal's breakout is happening: he's looked like an ace through his first six starts, walking only six batters in 36 2/3 innings and sporting an AL-best 0.74 WHIP. He's a fantastic building block atop the rotation, alongside Reese Olson and Casey Mize. Unfortunately, those great arms are getting no help from a woeful offense that ranks 22nd in runs, 25th in homers, and 26th in OPS.17. Minnesota Twins Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-13 8-2 +8 24 (+7) The Twins have won seven straight and are back on track after a rough start (playing the White Sox and Angels in consecutive series certainly helped but all wins count the same in the standings). Eight different players posted an OPS greater than 1.000 over the past seven days, including Edouard Julien, who had six extra-base hits, seven runs scored, and a .955 slugging percentage during the stretch.18. San Diego Padres Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-17 3-7 -3 14 (-4) It's been a rough ride for Joe Musgrove. The 2022 All-Star and owner of a no-hitter ranks second worst in the NL in hits and homers allowed. His 6.94 ERA is also the highest among big-league starters, while his 6.59 FIP ranks second worst in MLB. Quite the fall for the righty, who's been a reliable presence in San Diego's rotation the past three years.19. Toronto Blue Jays Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-15 4-6 -24 18 (-1) Shohei Ohtani finally landed in Toronto and was greeted by hearty boos from Blue Jays fans for spurning them in free agency. While that was happening, the club continued to prove Ohtani made the right decision by showing almost no signs of life, dropping the Dodgers series and continuing their miserable April. Toronto's once-vaunted offense is looking toothless: Bo Bichette, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and George Springer all have a sub-.700 OPS and a combined seven homers. Lachlan Cunningham / Getty Images Sport / Getty20. San Francisco Giants Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-15 6-4 -17 21 (+1) The Giants were lauded after landing Blake Snell late in the offseason on a reasonable contract. Fast forward one month and things aren't looking quite so great: Snell posted an 11.57 ERA in his first three outings and was placed on the IL with an adductor strain. The Giants are off to an uneven start overall as their offseason additions beyond Snell haven't given them the jolt many were expecting.21. Pittsburgh Pirates Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-15 3-7 -6 8 (-13) The 2024 season started a lot like 2023. Pittsburgh won nine of its first 11 games before stumbling to a 2-9 stretch in its next 11. The Pirates went an impressive 19-9 in April 2023 but followed up with an 8-18 May. Pittsburgh ranks 30th in runs scored over the last two weeks, a major reason for its struggles.22. Tampa Bay Rays Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 13-16 3-7 -32 16 (-6) The Rays entered 2024 ravaged by injuries in the rotation, with many wondering if they had the depth to remain competitive in the AL East. The rotation's been just below league average in ERA but is bottom 10 in home runs allowed. The usually dependable bullpen's cratered early, with closer Pete Fairbanks highlighting a group of relievers who haven't looked sharp.23. St. Louis Cardinals Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 13-15 4-6 -23 22 (-1) The Cardinals' disappointing offense has been the story of their season, but things may finally be trending in the right direction. Nolan Gorman broke out of his horrific slump with a walk-off home run Monday, and Paul Goldschmidt's looked more like himself lately. The team's hovering around .500 on the strength of its pitching, but poor underlying metrics suggest regression lurks for Lance Lynn and Kyle Gibson.24. Houston Astros Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 9-19 3-7 -22 19 (-5) The Astros' start to the season is confounding. The rotation's been battered by injuries and those able to take the ball have been shelled repeatedly. Perhaps the only saving grace for Houston after its worst start to a season in nearly 60 years is that the AL West isn't looking very imposing early on. Ronald Martinez / Getty Images Sport / Getty25. Washington Nationals Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 13-14 6-4 -10 27 (+2) The pesky Nationals are led by CJ Abrams, who appears poised for a breakout season. Acquired from the Padres in the Juan Soto deal, Abrams is slashing .296/.367/.612 with six home runs and five stolen bases. The 23-year-old should continue to provide excitement and hope in another rebuilding year in D.C.26. Oakland Athletics Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 12-17 4-6 -43 26 (-) Credit to manager Mark Kotsay for finding a way to keep the young A's somewhat steady in a situation that can't be easy for his players. Though the A's almost certainly won't make the playoffs, they're somehow in third in the AL West and only 3.5 games out of first. They also have baseball's best closer in Mason Miller, whose unlikely rise to prominence has been a lot of fun to watch.27. Los Angeles Angels Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 10-18 1-9 -36 25 (-2) The Angels have lost nine of 10 and Anthony Rendon is out for an extended time with a partially torn hamstring. While Rendon's contract continues to handcuff the club, at least the team is starting to see some value from Tyler Anderson. The recipient of a three-year, $39-million contract ahead of last season owns a 1.78 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in five starts.28. Miami Marlins Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 6-23 2-8 -59 29 (+1) Saying nothing's gone right for the Marlins is a colossal understatement. Jes s Luzardo is the team's most recent starting pitcher to hit the IL, joining Sandy Alcantara, Braxton Garrett, and Eury P rez. Rookie Max Meyer looked great across three starts until the team controversially demoted him to Triple-A to manage his innings.29. Colorado Rockies Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 7-21 3-7 -70 28 (-1) The Rockies trailed at one point in all 28 of their games to start this season. Kris Bryant's sidelined by another injury, and 2023 breakout star Nolan Jones is hitting .170/.243/.277 with one home run and 37 strikeouts. Meanwhile, Kyle Freeland's allowed 23 earned runs and 32 hits in four starts.30. Chicago White Sox Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 6-22 3-7 -77 30 (-) Things remain bleak for the White Sox, even after a series win over the Rays. One of the few bright spots is the performance of Erick Fedde. The White Sox signed the right-hander to a two-year, $15-million contract after he dominated in the KBO and Fedde's rewarded that investment so far, posting a 2-0 record with a 2.60 ERA and 39 strikeouts across 34 2/3 innings.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Source: The Score
Monday, Apr 29, 2024


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