Ryan O'Hearn

Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.We split our best bets for Thursday night's pint-sized card. Sonny Gray and the Cardinals laid an egg against the Brewers, but thankfully Erick Fedde recorded a quality start to give us a 1-1 record.We'll set our sights higher with three plays for Friday's juicy slate.Diamondbacks (+105) @ Orioles (-125)The Diamondbacks are playing some of their best ball this season. They've won four consecutive games, outscoring their opponents 26-13 in aggregate. I don't see that success continuing Friday night against the Orioles.Baltimore's elite offense tends to feature a lot of quality left-handed bats, which has proven to be Brandon Pfaadt's Achilles heel. He owns a .368 xwOBA against lefties over the past month, which is nowhere close to his sparkling .181 xwOBA versus right-handed hitters.The Orioles' dangerous lefties include Gunnar Henderson, Ryan O'Hearn, and Cedric Mullins, while Adley Rutschman and Anthony Santander can also cause problems from that side of the plate.Baltimore's scored three or fewer runs in four of the past seven games, and this is a good matchup for the team to get going offensively.Conversely, the Diamondbacks have not made a lot of noise at the plate in recent weeks. They rank 28th in xwOBA versus righties over the past three weeks and have posted a .215 batting average in that span.Cole Irvin has pitched well this season and should be able to give the Orioles a quality start, putting them in good position to get a win.Bet: Orioles (-125)Jared Jones: Over 17.5 outsJones has gone over this total in four of seven starts this season. He's done his best work on home soil, where he's allowed just three runs over three games while completing at least six innings in each of them.He's in a good spot to stay hot against the Cubs, who are missing some key bats due to injury. Their offensive numbers have plummeted as a result: They've managed just 2.87 runs per game over their last 12, which is one of the worst marks in the league.They have hit just .188 against right-handed pitchers in that span while ranking bottom six in ground-ball rate and contact rate.Jones possesses an electric pitching arsenal. He throws a ton of strikes and misses bats as well as anybody. His strengths should cause a floundering Chicago offense a world of problems.Look for Jones to give the Pirates plenty of length in this one.Odds: -120 (playable to -150)Andrew Abbott: Over 15.5 outsAbbott's made seven starts this season. He's recorded 16 outs or more in all four on the road while falling short in each of the three at home.I don't think that's a coincidence. Great American Ball Park is one of the most hitter-friendly environments in the majors, making it tougher for pitchers limit runs and go deeper into games.Abbott's clearly benefited from pitching on the road and he finds himself in one of MLB's more pitcher-friendly parks Friday night in San Francisco.That should serve him well, as will a Giants lineup featuring a ton of right-handed bats; Abbott owns a very strong .269 xwOBA versus right-handed hitters over the past month.He should be able to hang in there and eat some innings for the Reds. They're certainly hoping so, as they've used at least three relievers in three straight games and gotten only five innings from their starters in four of the last five.Expect Abbott to change that trend and flirt with six innings.Odds: -130 (playable to -145)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.Success continues to come on the diamond as we ended last week on a 6-0 run with our best bets.Here are Monday's plays:Braves (-150) @ Mariners (+130)Max Fried started his season in the worst fashion imaginable. He gave up three runs in less than an inning in his debut and followed that up by allowing seven against the Diamondbacks.He's pitched excellently since that point, allowing four runs over 20 1/3 innings across three starts.Fried owns a sparkling .255 xwOBA in that span, inducing grounders at a near 70% clip. He's giving up little quality contact and keeping almost everything on the ground.The Mariners' offense doesn't appear ready to cause Fried problems. Seattle's hitting .202 vs. left-handed pitchers in April and is keeping company with the Athletics, Rockies, and White Sox in terms of xwOBA. Not ideal.Meanwhile, the Braves should be able to cause Bryce Miller problems. He's sporting a .376 xwOBA over his past three starts but survived due to an unsustainably low .135 batting average on balls in play. That number's likely to increase, especially given the quality of contact Miller's allowing right now.The Braves lead the majors in batting average against righties this month while the Mariners are struggling mightily against lefties. Given the two starters' trajectory and the offensive splits, the Braves should take care of business.Bet: Braves (-150)Clarke Schmidt: Under 16.5 outsSchmidt's not someone the Yankees rely on to pitch deep into games. He doesn't give the team a ton of length, even when he's performing at a high level. He's gone under this total in 23 of his last 30 starts dating back to last season.That includes a 0-5 start to this campaign, which is especially troubling when you consider he already faced the 9-19 Astros and two of the American League's three lowest-scoring offenses.I have a hard time believing Schmidt will flip the switch against the Orioles, who rank third in xwOBA vs. right-handed pitchers this season and are tied for first in homers.Baltimore's powerhouse offense routinely chases pitchers early. Only two of the past 13 righties they faced completed six innings.Including last season's data, Schmidt's fared much worse against lefties than righties, which isn't ideal heading into this matchup. Lefties Gunnar Henderson, Ryan O'Hearn, Cedric Mullins, and a pair of dangerous switch-hitters in Adley Rutschman and Anthony Santander mean Schmidt's looking at a relatively early exit.Odds: -140 (playable to -160)Grayson Rodriguez: Under 16.5 outsRodriguez is a dynamic talent but he's yet to consistently show the ability to pitch deep into games. He completed six innings in only 10 of 29 MLB starts, which equates to a 34% success rate.He's done so in three of five games this season, but the schedule's been soft: Rodriguez faced the Angels twice, along with the Pirates, Twins, and Red Sox. The Angels are 10-18, the Pirates are a bottom-10 offense, and the Twins are dealing with injuries to multiple key bats. The Red Sox are the only above-average offense Rodriguez has seen.I think he's going to have a tough time flirting with six innings against the Yankees, who sit tied with the Orioles for most homers vs. right-handed pitching. New York also leads the league in walk rate. Its offense is very disciplined, and can win with patience, power, or by hitting for average.The Yankees tend to make every at-bat a grind, leading to high pitch counts, and making it extremely difficult for opposing starters to work deep into games.Odds: -115 (playable to -130)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

How Ryan O'Hearn's improved approach has led to more production. The post A Closer Look at Ryan O’Hearn’s Hot Start appeared first on Pitcher List.

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