Tyler Anderson

Tyler Anderson

SP - ANA
Height: 6-2
Weight: 220 lbs
Age: 34
College:
Los Angeles Angels

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The ScoreCardinals to best reeling Mets at home

Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.We have a 10-game slate on the docket to begin the week. Let's waste no time diving into a few of my favorite spots.Mets (+105) @ Cardinals (-125)The Mets enter this game ice-cold, having dropped three in a row and seven of the past 10. I don't see things getting much better Monday night.Taking the bump for the Mets will be Sean Manaea. Although his numbers look good on the surface, the underlying metrics indicate he's a prime candidate to regress.Manaea owns a sky-high .386 xwOBA over his past four starts and has thrown more called balls than strikes in that time. He's not locating his pitches well and is giving up a lot of good contact. He just hasn't paid the price for it yet.It's only a matter of time before the contact he gives up starts turning into production. With how many free passes he doles out, he'll be in real trouble when the hits inevitably come against him.Led by Paul Goldschmidt, Willson Contreras, and Brendan Donovan, the Cardinals have a few guys who hit lefties very well. There's enough talent there to do damage to Manaea.Conversely, the Cardinals should feel pretty good about having Kyle Gibson on the bump. He's done a great job of eating innings this season and has induced a ton of ground balls into an improved defense.His numbers are trending upward as well. He's allowed just one run in three straight starts, and right-handed bats - of which the Mets have many - own a .271 xwOBA against him in that span.Look for a pitching advantage to translate into a win for the Redbirds.Bet: Cardinals (-125)Angels (+125) @ Pirates (-145)The Angels have completely fallen apart of late. They own a 2-8 record over the past 10 games and recently lost their best player, Mike Trout, to injury.Meanwhile, the Pirates own a 3-7 record over the same span and have plated two runs or fewer in six of the last seven.Sounds like the perfect time for an under, right? Wrong! I see value in backing the offenses in this game.Tyler Anderson owns a .367 xwOBA over his last five starts, ranking him ahead of only Alex Wood and Michael Soroka among today's projected pitchers. That's not the company you want to be keeping.The Pirates have also hit lefties fairly well this season. They sit ninth in xwOBA versus left-handed pitching and have posted better-than-average numbers in terms of batting average, walk rate, and barrel percentage. They should be able to generate some offense against a guy who's pitched above his head all season long.I also like the Angels to chip in offensively against Mitch Keller. He's allowed at least two runs in every start this season and given up four-plus in four of seven games. He's giving up plenty of hard contact - his line-drive rate is nearly 10% higher than average over the past month - and walking a lot of batters, to boot. That's not a good way to keep runs off the board.I think we see both teams contribute a few runs en route to a decently high-scoring game.Bet: Over 7.5 runs (-125)Jack Flaherty: Under 1.5 walks Flaherty's control has been excellent this season. He's walked multiple batters in only one of six starts thus far, doling out two free passes over 28 at-bats against a Twins team that ranks top-10 in xwOBA and walk rate since that matchup versus Flaherty.He's gone under the number in every other start, which includes games against the Athletics and Cardinals - two of the league's best teams at drawing walks against right-handed pitching.I don't think the Guardians will be able to test Flaherty's ability to control the zone and avoid walks.Only six teams have generated walks at a lesser rate than the Guardians this season. That likely stems from their swing-heavy approach, with the team sitting fifth in swing rate versus righties this season.It's easier to avoid walks when your opponent's offense is built on generating contact and hoping the ball lands in a favorable spot.Expect another clean outing from Flaherty.Odds: -120 (playable to -140)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Source: The Score
Monday, May 6, 2024

The ScoreKeller, Pirates to rebound vs. Athletics

Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.Our 6-0 run came to an abrupt halt Monday night. Clarke Schmidt and Grayson Rodriguez both lost their unders by one out, while the Braves blew a lead in the bottom of the ninth against the Mariners.Let's take a closer look at three of my favorite plays for Tuesday's card as we look to get back on track.Pirates (-135) @ Athletics (+115)The Pirates dropped five of the past six games, including the series opener against the Athletics. But I think they have a great chance of getting back in the win column Tuesday night.Taking the bump for the Pirates will be Mitch Keller. His season numbers don't look great on the surface, but his ERA was inflated over his last two starts against the Red Sox (10th in runs per game) and Brewers (fifth in runs per game).He should have a much easier time chewing up innings - and giving the Pirates a quality start - against the Athletics, who are scoring exactly three runs per game and hitting a league-worst .206 on the season.The Athletics also rank last in contact rate. They should allow Keller, who is averaging just under a strikeout per inning, to put forth a ceiling performance in terms of missing bats.On the flip side, the Pirates are in a great spot offensively going up against Alex Wood. He owns a 6.59 ERA, 1.94 WHIP, and .369 xwOBA on the season. Wood gives up a ton of contact and induces grounders only 33% of the time.The Pirates don't hit lefties overly well, but a soft-throwing contact arm like Wood shouldn't give them much trouble.Keller should get more than enough run support to put the Pirates on a path to victory in this one.Bet: Pirates (-135)Tyler Anderson: Under 17.5 outsAnderson owns a sparkling 1.78 ERA on the year, but he isn't pitching nearly as well as that number would have you believe. He's benefiting from luck and sporting an astronomically low BABIP of .181 despite owning the highest flyball rate of all the day's projected starters.Put another way, a lot of balls are being put in the air against him, yet very few are turning into hits. That is going to change sooner rather than later given how often Anderson allows the ball to be put in play.Also working against Anderson and his ability to pitch deep into games is a pretty hefty walk rate. He issued multiple free passes in all but one start this season and three-plus in three straight.A matchup with the Phillies isn't going to help Anderson's cause. They rank third in xwOBA against lefties over the past two weeks, and the heart of their order is hitting them very well this season.I'm happy to fade a mediocre arm due for regression in a very difficult matchup.Odds: -110 (playable to -135)Jon Gray: Under 17.5 outs Gray doesn't generally give the Rangers much length in his starts. He went under in 19 of his past 30 dating back to last season, a run that includes four unders in five starts this year with a relief appearance mixed in.The Nationals aren't an offense to fear, but they do have plenty of quality left-handed bats, which doesn't bode well for Gray.He's throwing balls at a very high rate and conceding a ton of quality contact. Opposing lefties are posting a 17.9% barrel rate against him - more than double the league average - and a sky-high xwOBA of .435.Gray does not pitch deep into games, and I don't see that changing against a lefty-heavy Nationals lineup, especially considering the Rangers were off Monday and should have a rested bullpen ready to go.Odds: -110 (playable to -130)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Source: The Score
Tuesday, Apr 30, 2024

The ScoreMLB Power Rankings: Phillies heating up, Angels wasting more Trout magic

Welcome to the third edition of theScore's MLB Power Rankings for the 2024 regular season. The last edition was published April 15. 1. Atlanta Braves Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-7 8-2 +47 3 (+2) Ronald Acu a Jr. and Austin Riley started slowly. Spencer Strider's out for the year. Sean Murphy's played one game. Yet the Braves keep winning, owning the majors' best record and run differential. Marcell Ozuna's hitting like an MVP, and Reynaldo L pez has come out of nowhere to post a 0.72 ERA through four starts.2. Los Angeles Dodgers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 18-12 6-4 +38 1 (-1) The star-studded Dodgers have won six of seven and are heating up. Will Smith is reaping the benefits of hitting cleanup behind three former MVPs, slashing .382/.422/.590 with five doubles and nine RBIs over the last two weeks. He's also done well catching a rotation led by Tyler Glasnow, who owns a 0.64 ERA and 19 strikeouts over his last two starts (14 innings).3. New York Yankees Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-10 6-4 +43 2 (-1) Juan Soto's been everything and more for the Yankees. The same can't be said for Aaron Judge. The 2022 AL MVP is off to an uneven start at the plate and was booed during a recent four-strikeout game at Yankee Stadium. Luckily for New York, two players who struggled last season are off to good starts: Carlos Rod n owns a 2.48 ERA across six outings, while Giancarlo Stanton has six homers and a .777 OPS.4. Baltimore Orioles Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 17-10 6-4 +34 5 (+1) Jackson Holliday's first taste of the majors didn't go as planned, and baseball's top prospect is back in Triple-A following a 2-for-34 start. But nobody should worry too much. Holliday's only 20 years old and isn't the first to have early-career struggles. The good news: Baltimore has the AL's highest-scoring offense, with three regulars with an OPS above .900. Patrick Smith / Getty Images5. Philadelphia Phillies Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-10 8-2 +25 9 (+4) The Phillies are one of baseball's hottest teams, winning four straight and 11 of 13. Alec Bohm's on fire to start the year, leading the club with 26 RBIs and a 1.056 OPS. Ranger Su rez may be the team's best starting pitcher, posting a 0.30 ERA over his last four starts (30 innings). Philly already set a franchise record for April wins and still has two more games.6. Milwaukee Brewers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 17-10 6-4 +14 4 (-2) The Brewers continue piling up wins, even with outfielder Christian Yelich sidelined with a back injury. William Contreras appears to be putting together a breakout season (.988 OPS) as the league's next star catcher. There are valid concerns about the rotation beyond ace Freddy Peralta, but Milwaukee should have staying power as a relevant team in the NL Central.7. Cleveland Guardians Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-9 7-3 +46 10 (+3) With an offense that's again among the toughest to strike out, Cleveland now owns the AL's best run differential - an amazing feat considering the Guardians have hit only 26 home runs and Jos Ram rez hasn't quite gotten going yet. With a fairly soft schedule ahead, the Guardians have a great opportunity to start pulling away in the winnable AL Central.8. Kansas City Royals Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 17-12 5-5 +43 7 (-1) Pitching keyed Kansas City's great April. The team's rotation ranks third in the majors in ERA, with Seth Lugo's 1.66 mark over 38 innings leading the way. Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez, and Vinnie Pasquantino are carrying the offense as the team's only three qualified hitters with an OPS over .700. While the Royals may fall back as the schedule toughens, we'll give them their due for now.9. Texas Rangers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 15-14 5-5 +7 6 (-3) It feels like the Rangers are biding time until rotation reinforcements arrive. Max Scherzer appears close to making his season debut, while Jacob deGrom and Tyler Mahle are more realistic to return at some point later this season. The lineup's been respectable so far (13th in OPS) but should find another gear as the season continues.10. Chicago Cubs Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 17-11 6-4 +14 11 (+1) Shota Imanaga's making an early case for NL Cy Young. The Cubs' offseason addition leads the majors with a 0.98 ERA, becoming only the sixth player to post a sub-1.00 ERA in his first five career starts. Chicago's won every game Imanaga's started. Jason Miller / Getty Images Sport / Getty11. Cincinnati Reds Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 15-13 6-4 +21 12 (+1) The Reds are in good hands on both sides of the ball with Elly De La Cruz and Hunter Greene. De La Cruz is baseball's most electrifying player, currently on pace to become the first player in history to hit 35 home runs and steal 80 bases in the same year. Greene appears to be putting it all together in his fourth season, posting a 3.63 ERA, 2.96 FIP, and 10.9 K/9 across his first six starts.12. Boston Red Sox Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 16-13 6-4 +33 15 (+3) The Red Sox continue to punch above their weight despite countless injuries thanks to excellent starting pitching and solid offensive contributions from Tyler O'Neill, Connor Wong, and Wilyer Abreu. O'Neill's tied for second in the majors with nine homers, Wong's gone deep five times and has a .948 OPS, while Abreu's hitting .319/.400/.553 over the last two weeks.13. Seattle Mariners Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 15-13 7-3 +10 23 (+10) The Mariners own the AL West's top record despite being one of the worst scoring clubs in the league - only the Blue Jays, White Sox, and Athletics have scored fewer runs in the AL. Seattle's bullpen's been elite, with an MLB-best 2.47 ERA, while its starters own baseball's fifth-best FIP. Logan Gilbert's been tremendous, posting a 1.82 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in 34 2/3 innings.14. Arizona Diamondbacks Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 13-16 4-6 +29 13 (-1) The D-Backs are trying to stay afloat in the NL West while dealing with a bunch of injuries: 10 key players - including three members of the rotation, five relievers, and two solid defenders in Alek Thomas and Geraldo Perdomo - are out. Arizona's expected record based on its plus-29 run differential is 17-12, so it'll be interesting to see how the club performs with a full squad of regulars.15. New York Mets Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-13 5-5 +7 17 (+2) The Mets feel like a fun surprise at times, and a painfully mediocre squad at others. Notorious slow starter Francisco Lindor's bat has awoken from hibernation, providing Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo with some much-needed lineup assistance. But aside from a rejuvenated Luis Severino, the team's patchwork starting rotation's struggled to pitch deep into games. David Berding / Getty Images Sport / Getty16. Detroit Tigers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 16-12 6-4 +3 20 (+4) Tarik Skubal's breakout is happening: he's looked like an ace through his first six starts, walking only six batters in 36 2/3 innings and sporting an AL-best 0.74 WHIP. He's a fantastic building block atop the rotation, alongside Reese Olson and Casey Mize. Unfortunately, those great arms are getting no help from a woeful offense that ranks 22nd in runs, 25th in homers, and 26th in OPS.17. Minnesota Twins Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-13 8-2 +8 24 (+7) The Twins have won seven straight and are back on track after a rough start (playing the White Sox and Angels in consecutive series certainly helped but all wins count the same in the standings). Eight different players posted an OPS greater than 1.000 over the past seven days, including Edouard Julien, who had six extra-base hits, seven runs scored, and a .955 slugging percentage during the stretch.18. San Diego Padres Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-17 3-7 -3 14 (-4) It's been a rough ride for Joe Musgrove. The 2022 All-Star and owner of a no-hitter ranks second worst in the NL in hits and homers allowed. His 6.94 ERA is also the highest among big-league starters, while his 6.59 FIP ranks second worst in MLB. Quite the fall for the righty, who's been a reliable presence in San Diego's rotation the past three years.19. Toronto Blue Jays Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-15 4-6 -24 18 (-1) Shohei Ohtani finally landed in Toronto and was greeted by hearty boos from Blue Jays fans for spurning them in free agency. While that was happening, the club continued to prove Ohtani made the right decision by showing almost no signs of life, dropping the Dodgers series and continuing their miserable April. Toronto's once-vaunted offense is looking toothless: Bo Bichette, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and George Springer all have a sub-.700 OPS and a combined seven homers. Lachlan Cunningham / Getty Images Sport / Getty20. San Francisco Giants Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-15 6-4 -17 21 (+1) The Giants were lauded after landing Blake Snell late in the offseason on a reasonable contract. Fast forward one month and things aren't looking quite so great: Snell posted an 11.57 ERA in his first three outings and was placed on the IL with an adductor strain. The Giants are off to an uneven start overall as their offseason additions beyond Snell haven't given them the jolt many were expecting.21. Pittsburgh Pirates Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 14-15 3-7 -6 8 (-13) The 2024 season started a lot like 2023. Pittsburgh won nine of its first 11 games before stumbling to a 2-9 stretch in its next 11. The Pirates went an impressive 19-9 in April 2023 but followed up with an 8-18 May. Pittsburgh ranks 30th in runs scored over the last two weeks, a major reason for its struggles.22. Tampa Bay Rays Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 13-16 3-7 -32 16 (-6) The Rays entered 2024 ravaged by injuries in the rotation, with many wondering if they had the depth to remain competitive in the AL East. The rotation's been just below league average in ERA but is bottom 10 in home runs allowed. The usually dependable bullpen's cratered early, with closer Pete Fairbanks highlighting a group of relievers who haven't looked sharp.23. St. Louis Cardinals Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 13-15 4-6 -23 22 (-1) The Cardinals' disappointing offense has been the story of their season, but things may finally be trending in the right direction. Nolan Gorman broke out of his horrific slump with a walk-off home run Monday, and Paul Goldschmidt's looked more like himself lately. The team's hovering around .500 on the strength of its pitching, but poor underlying metrics suggest regression lurks for Lance Lynn and Kyle Gibson.24. Houston Astros Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 9-19 3-7 -22 19 (-5) The Astros' start to the season is confounding. The rotation's been battered by injuries and those able to take the ball have been shelled repeatedly. Perhaps the only saving grace for Houston after its worst start to a season in nearly 60 years is that the AL West isn't looking very imposing early on. Ronald Martinez / Getty Images Sport / Getty25. Washington Nationals Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 13-14 6-4 -10 27 (+2) The pesky Nationals are led by CJ Abrams, who appears poised for a breakout season. Acquired from the Padres in the Juan Soto deal, Abrams is slashing .296/.367/.612 with six home runs and five stolen bases. The 23-year-old should continue to provide excitement and hope in another rebuilding year in D.C.26. Oakland Athletics Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 12-17 4-6 -43 26 (-) Credit to manager Mark Kotsay for finding a way to keep the young A's somewhat steady in a situation that can't be easy for his players. Though the A's almost certainly won't make the playoffs, they're somehow in third in the AL West and only 3.5 games out of first. They also have baseball's best closer in Mason Miller, whose unlikely rise to prominence has been a lot of fun to watch.27. Los Angeles Angels Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 10-18 1-9 -36 25 (-2) The Angels have lost nine of 10 and Anthony Rendon is out for an extended time with a partially torn hamstring. While Rendon's contract continues to handcuff the club, at least the team is starting to see some value from Tyler Anderson. The recipient of a three-year, $39-million contract ahead of last season owns a 1.78 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in five starts.28. Miami Marlins Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 6-23 2-8 -59 29 (+1) Saying nothing's gone right for the Marlins is a colossal understatement. Jes s Luzardo is the team's most recent starting pitcher to hit the IL, joining Sandy Alcantara, Braxton Garrett, and Eury P rez. Rookie Max Meyer looked great across three starts until the team controversially demoted him to Triple-A to manage his innings.29. Colorado Rockies Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 7-21 3-7 -70 28 (-1) The Rockies trailed at one point in all 28 of their games to start this season. Kris Bryant's sidelined by another injury, and 2023 breakout star Nolan Jones is hitting .170/.243/.277 with one home run and 37 strikeouts. Meanwhile, Kyle Freeland's allowed 23 earned runs and 32 hits in four starts.30. Chicago White Sox Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 6-22 3-7 -77 30 (-) Things remain bleak for the White Sox, even after a series win over the Rays. One of the few bright spots is the performance of Erick Fedde. The White Sox signed the right-hander to a two-year, $15-million contract after he dominated in the KBO and Fedde's rewarded that investment so far, posting a 2-0 record with a 2.60 ERA and 39 strikeouts across 34 2/3 innings.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Source: The Score
Monday, Apr 29, 2024


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