We're viewing Goedert as a borderline TE1 this season, worth a draft pick as early as Round 10 in redraft leagues. Goedert's skill-set in this offense should produce starter results, but injuries have impacted him each of the last two years, with his efficiency falling off a cliff in 2023. A fair expectation for Goedert in 2024 is somewhere around 10 Fantasy points per game, and if he happens to get a few more red-zone looks you could get upside beyond that. Goedert's true upside probably comes from an injury to A.J. Brown or DeVonta Smith. Without that it's hard to imagine him cracking the top five tight ends on a regular basis. Goedert is even more risky in Dynasty leagues because another injury at age 29 could sink what little value he has left.
The consistent Goedert enters his seventh season still looking to truly break out for fantasy purposes. A broken forearm cost him three games last season, and he missed five games during the team's Super Bowl season. Goedert still hasn't reached 60 receptions in any season, and he has been held to three touchdowns in three of the past four, as he barely gets a look at the goal line. The efficiency we saw from him in 2021 and 2022 ceased last season, as his yards per target dropped from 10.2 to 7.1. Quality depth at tight end in fantasy has improved in recent years, so Goedert is more of a borderline TE1 and late-round pick than coveted asset.
Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD |
---|---|---|---|---|
63.7 | 698.2 | 4.0 |
Pick 10.06
Pick 10.03
Pick 10.02
Pick 11.09
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