Jack Flaherty

Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.Another day, another jam-packed slate of MLB games. Let's take a closer look at a few of my preferred ways to attack it.Reese Olson: Over 17.5 outsOlson is pitching extremely well this season. He's allowed two runs or fewer in six of seven starts, including five straight. Those are impressive numbers considering he's faced the Rangers, Yankees, and Twins in that span.Although he's been a mixed bag in terms of going over his total, Olson is averaging 17 outs this season. He's routinely flirting with this number despite a very stiff opposing schedule.Tuesday looks like a great spot for Olson to give the Tigers some length. The Marlins sit 27th in runs per game and 29th in OBP. They don't get on base, nor do they hit for power.Olson's averaged 20 outs per contest when pitching at home this season. I wouldn't be surprised if he hovers around that number again versus one of the league's worst offenses.Odds: -110 (playable to -130)Logan Gilbert: Under 1.5 walksGilbert's walk total has been one of my favorite props to target for the better part of two years. He has great control of the strike zone and rarely hands out free passes. In fact, he's only walked multiple batters in 10 of his past 30 starts.He walked two batters or more in back-to-back games only once in that span, which just so happens to be over his last two starts.The Royals should afford Gilbert a great opportunity to get back on track. They've walked in only 5.8% of their at-bats against right-handed pitchers this month. That's the second-lowest rate in the majors, ranking them ahead of only the lowly White Sox.Kansas City has a swing-first approach at the dish and owns the third-highest contact rate against righties in May.Given how effective Gilbert is at keeping the ball in the zone, and the Royals' tendency to swing, he should be able to regain his control in this one.Odds: -130 (playable to -145)JP Sears: Under 17.5 outs The Astros appear to be turning a corner - at least offensively. They posted a .324 OBP in May (sixth highest) while striking out only 17.4% of the time. That's the lowest mark in the league.Their numbers are even more impressive considering the caliber of pitchers they've faced this month. Houston has faced Gilbert, George Kirby, Bryce Miller, Tarik Skubal, Jack Flaherty, and Carlos Rod n, among others, over the past two weeks alone.I think Sears will have trouble slowing the Astros down. He's sporting a concerning .369 xwOBA versus righties over his past four starts, and Houston is expected to have six of them in its lineup. The Astros also feature left-handed monsters like Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker. Whether Sears' splits are better against lefties or not, he'll have a tough time with those stars.Sears has gone under this number in 18 of his past 30 starts. With the Athletics' bullpen in pretty good shape, I don't see Sears completing six innings in this one.Odds: -115 (playable to -130)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Jack Flaherty's comeback might be for real this time. The post How Real Is Jack Flaherty’s Resurgence? appeared first on Pitcher List.

Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.We're off to a disappointing 1-2 start to the week. Jack Flaherty came through by limiting his walks, but our side and total bets fell short.We'll look for better results with three plays that popped off the page from Tuesday's massive card.Logan Allen: Over 1.5 walksAllen loves walking batters. He's issued at least two free passes in 21 of 31 starts dating back to last season - that's 68% of the time.The Guardians lefty walked multiple batters in four of seven games this season. The exceptions were an Athletics team that's 28th in runs, a White Sox team that's 30th, and a 12-22 Astros side.The Tigers aren't great at grinding out walks, but they're disciplined enough to take what's given when someone struggles to hit the zone. Six of the past 10 starters they've faced walked at least two Detroit hitters.Detroit has a right-handed-heavy lineup and Allen's walked more than 10% of righties faced over the past month. Expect his control issues to continue.Odds: -135 (playable to -150)Kutter Crawford: Under 1.5 walksCrawford, on the other hand, has very good control. The Red Sox pitcher walked multiple hitters in 21 of his past 58 starts, or just 36%.Since walking eight batters over his first three starts this season, he's managed a 5% walk rate in four games. His underlying profile is remarkably strong: Between strikes and balls put in play, only 29.8% of his pitches in that span were balls, which is well below league average.Filling the zone should serve him well against the Braves. Only two of the past eight right-handed starters they've faced walked multiple batters. Emerson Hancock and Ben Lively were the exceptions, and they're back-of-the-rotation arms.Look for Crawford to minimize the free passes.Odds: -130 (playable to -150)Kyle Harrison: Over 15.5 outsTo say the Giants need length from Harrison in this spot is an understatement. The past four San Francisco starters combined to pitch 13 innings - not even 10 outs per game.The Giants are desperate for someone to stop the bleeding, and I think Harrison can be that guy.He's pitched six innings in four of seven starts, and two of the three times he fell short came against offenses that are in the top five versus left-handed pitching. The Rockies are not in that tier.Colorado also owns the second-highest swing rate versus lefties, which should help Harrison keep his pitch count down. That's key because he was pulled after five innings in his last start despite only giving up one run. He found himself in too many drawn-out at-bats, which shouldn't be the case Tuesday.Win or lose, expect Harrison to flirt with six innings (or more) in this one.Odds: -120 (playable to -150)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.We have a 10-game slate on the docket to begin the week. Let's waste no time diving into a few of my favorite spots.Mets (+105) @ Cardinals (-125)The Mets enter this game ice-cold, having dropped three in a row and seven of the past 10. I don't see things getting much better Monday night.Taking the bump for the Mets will be Sean Manaea. Although his numbers look good on the surface, the underlying metrics indicate he's a prime candidate to regress.Manaea owns a sky-high .386 xwOBA over his past four starts and has thrown more called balls than strikes in that time. He's not locating his pitches well and is giving up a lot of good contact. He just hasn't paid the price for it yet.It's only a matter of time before the contact he gives up starts turning into production. With how many free passes he doles out, he'll be in real trouble when the hits inevitably come against him.Led by Paul Goldschmidt, Willson Contreras, and Brendan Donovan, the Cardinals have a few guys who hit lefties very well. There's enough talent there to do damage to Manaea.Conversely, the Cardinals should feel pretty good about having Kyle Gibson on the bump. He's done a great job of eating innings this season and has induced a ton of ground balls into an improved defense.His numbers are trending upward as well. He's allowed just one run in three straight starts, and right-handed bats - of which the Mets have many - own a .271 xwOBA against him in that span.Look for a pitching advantage to translate into a win for the Redbirds.Bet: Cardinals (-125)Angels (+125) @ Pirates (-145)The Angels have completely fallen apart of late. They own a 2-8 record over the past 10 games and recently lost their best player, Mike Trout, to injury.Meanwhile, the Pirates own a 3-7 record over the same span and have plated two runs or fewer in six of the last seven.Sounds like the perfect time for an under, right? Wrong! I see value in backing the offenses in this game.Tyler Anderson owns a .367 xwOBA over his last five starts, ranking him ahead of only Alex Wood and Michael Soroka among today's projected pitchers. That's not the company you want to be keeping.The Pirates have also hit lefties fairly well this season. They sit ninth in xwOBA versus left-handed pitching and have posted better-than-average numbers in terms of batting average, walk rate, and barrel percentage. They should be able to generate some offense against a guy who's pitched above his head all season long.I also like the Angels to chip in offensively against Mitch Keller. He's allowed at least two runs in every start this season and given up four-plus in four of seven games. He's giving up plenty of hard contact - his line-drive rate is nearly 10% higher than average over the past month - and walking a lot of batters, to boot. That's not a good way to keep runs off the board.I think we see both teams contribute a few runs en route to a decently high-scoring game.Bet: Over 7.5 runs (-125)Jack Flaherty: Under 1.5 walks Flaherty's control has been excellent this season. He's walked multiple batters in only one of six starts thus far, doling out two free passes over 28 at-bats against a Twins team that ranks top-10 in xwOBA and walk rate since that matchup versus Flaherty.He's gone under the number in every other start, which includes games against the Athletics and Cardinals - two of the league's best teams at drawing walks against right-handed pitching.I don't think the Guardians will be able to test Flaherty's ability to control the zone and avoid walks.Only six teams have generated walks at a lesser rate than the Guardians this season. That likely stems from their swing-heavy approach, with the team sitting fifth in swing rate versus righties this season.It's easier to avoid walks when your opponent's offense is built on generating contact and hoping the ball lands in a favorable spot.Expect another clean outing from Flaherty.Odds: -120 (playable to -140)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Jack Flaherty was one of the more interesting mid-level starting pitchers in last year’s free agent class. The righty was arguably the best pitcher in MLB in the second half of 2019, but he didn’t cement himself as an ace in the following few seasons. He struggled in nine starts during the shortened season. Oblique…