Where to Put 'em is the Fantasy Football Nerd's look at the best and worst match ups for Week 14. Decisions are based upon the FFN fantasy rankings and match up analysis. Given the known conditions, these match ups are the ones to watch and/or avoid.
Put 'em In The Game:
Joe FlaccoAt this point in the year it becomes easier and easier to analyze match ups and Joe Flacco has a fantastic match up. Nobody allows more yards, more touchdowns, and more fantasy points to opposing QB's than Houston. That makes for an interesting match up on Monday night. With the exception of the first two weeks, Flacco has been pretty consistent. We're expecting a shoot out against the Texans.
Put 'em In The Game:
Jay CutlerIt's tough to know which Jay Cutler is going to show up from week to week. His match up is great on paper - the Patriots trail only Houston in yards given up each game to opposing QB's at 287.58. Cutler at home should fare better than Mark Sanchez did this past week against the Pats.
Put 'em In The Game:
Fred JacksonWe're not freaking out about last week's poor performance against the Vikings. Prior to that, Jackson shredded Detroit, Cincy, and Pittsburgh (and that's no small feat). Cleveland doesn't allow many rushers to see the end zone but they give up 157 yards on the ground each game. With Jackson's ability to participate in the passing game as well, he has the tools to be successful this week.
Put 'em In The Game:
Knowshon MorenoSince the bye week, Kansas City (twice), San Diego, and St Louis have been unable to contain Knowshon Moreno so there is very little reason to expect Arizona to be able to do so. As Jim Carrey might say, this match up is B-E-A-U-tiful. The Cards give up the 2nd most yards on the ground and the 3rd most touchdowns to opposing backs. We're anticipating a nice little day out of Moreno Sunday afternoon.
Put 'em In The Game:
Anquan BoldinBoldin makes for an attractive start for the same reasons that Joe Flacco does. The Houston secondary has laid out the red carpet to the passing game this year and opposing defenses have taken advantage of that. Boldin may have turned in poor performances against Carolina and Tampa Bay, but he turned it around last week against Pittsburgh where he hauled in 5 for 118 yards and a score. We're expecting a decent day out of Anquan this week.
Put 'em In The Game:
Mike WilliamsTampa Bay's Mike Williams has been a nice surprise this year. He grabbed 5 catches for 59 yards and a score last week against the Falcons. He's not going to light up the world, but he can still be quite productive for you against Washington who ranks in the Top 10 for fantasy points given up to opposing receivers.
Put 'em In The Game:
Benjamin WatsonBen Watson hit the century mark last week and caught his 3rd touchdown of the season against Miami. He hasn't seen 100 yards all year, but he has a beautiful match up this week against the Bills who surrender the most touchdowns and the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
Put 'em In The Game:
Brandon PettigrewIt's tough to run against the Packers, but Green Bay can be thrown on. In fact, only 7 other teams allow more fantasy points to opposing tight ends. Pettigrew gets targeted frequently every game and is usually good for roughly 5 catches per game. Other than Calvin Johnson, Pettigrew is the only other viable fantasy option from that team this week.
Put 'em On The Bench:
Matt CasselCassel has been a great fantasy QB this year throwing for 23 touchdowns on the season - the same as Aaron Rodgers and Eli Manning and more than Matt Ryan, Kyle Orton, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Joe Flacco. That should make for a must-start, but here's why we're down on Cassel. San Diego is brutal on QB's allowing the fewest points to them on the season. Combine that with the fact that Cassel just underwent laparoscopic surgery on his appendix and you've got a very tough match up any way you look at it.
Put 'em On The Bench:
Brett FavreThis appears to be an easy decision. Even though every report indicates that Favre will continue his ironman streak, he is not a safe start anymore. It hurts to say this, but the ol' gunslinger may officially be out of bullets. Even if he was healthy, he has failed miserably to put up decent fantasy numbers in 10 of the 12 games that he has started. He simply can't be trusted anymore. Enjoy your retirement Brett.
Put 'em On The Bench:
Pierre ThomasPierre Thomas fully practiced this week and is listed as probable for this week's match up against St Louis. Thomas hasn't seen any action for the past ten games, so we're not sure how much of the workload he'll see. Many fantasy owners stashed Thomas on their benches for this moment but we're recommending dropping him all together. Chris Ivory will still get his carries and the remaining schedule is all against Top 10 fantasy defenses.
Put 'em On The Bench:
Jahvid BestChalk it up to turf toe or defenses planning for him but Best has not the same guy since Week 2. The Packers are very tough against the run and are sure to put the clamp down on Best. The Pack give up the 3rd fewest fantasy points to running backs so Best should be in for a tough day.
Put 'em On The Bench:
Brandon MarshallThis week's visitor to Revis Island is Brandon Marshall. He's been a limited participant in practice this week recovering from a hamstring incident. Right before his injury, Marshall had 5 sub-Marshall performances reaching just 64 yards tops. Revis Island is real and you can be sure that Marshall will be stuck there.
Put 'em On The Bench:
Chad OchocincoOchocinco is clearly the #2 receiver in Cincy. He faces a tough defense in Pittsburgh that will be focusing on both #85 and T.O. on Sunday. The Steelers allow the 6th-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. I don't think many people expected such a sub-par performance from Chad this year. If you're looking for a safe pick this week, you may be better off looking elsewhere.
Put 'em On The Bench:
Visanthe ShiancoeVisanthe Shiancoe has had 3 decent games this year, far fewer than the Shiancoe that we all remember from last year. He has not had more than 4 catches since Week 2. We expect a healthy does of Adrian Peterson this week and it's not clear how long Favre will play before Jackson comes in. The uncertainty combined with a season of poorly performing games makes us want to bench Shiancoe.
Put 'em On The Bench:
Kellen WinslowWinslow missed practice again but he's still expected to play. In these final weeks of the season, we're looking for safe picks and Winslow doesn't fit the bill. The Redskins can be thrown on but they've been pretty tough on tight ends this year. If Winslow were more consistent, we'd probably feel differently about him. If you've got a better option, play it.
Join the Discussion
Benk CommentedDec 15, 2010 11:00 am
Help which def do you role with wk 15 New Eng/Chicago
Nerd CommentedDec 15, 2010 11:00 am
If Rodgers is held out, you're going to want New England. If Rodgers plays, I'd take Chicago in a heartbeat.